Abstract

DELGADO, JA. Dynamic model of COVID19 pandemic. Sanid. Mil. [online]. 2021, vol.77, n.1, pp.7-16.  Epub June 07, 2021. ISSN 1887-8571.  https://dx.doi.org/10.4321/s1887-85712021000100002.

The COVID19 pandemic is generating an international effort to know the main dynamic aspects that this new epidemic crisis is causing, which is why a large number of initiatives are emerging around the world in relation to the development of mathematical models. The present work develops a dynamic simulation model based on the Systems Dynamics technique, under a systemic vision approach of the social and health problems it raises. The results have been simulated with respect to the casuistry of the Community of Madrid. The tremendous problem posed by the group of undetected infected, the cause of the spread of the epidemic, as well as the evidence of the technical difficulty posed by the lack of reliability of official data, for this reason, is evident.

Keywords : COVID19; Pandemic; Models; Systems Dynamic.

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