Abstract

BERNAL, M. et al. Estimation of the Projections of Incidence Rates, Prevalence and Mortality Due to Prostate Cancer in Aragon (Spain). Actas Urol Esp [online]. 2011, vol.35, n.8, pp.470-474. ISSN 0210-4806.

Objective: The purpose of this study was to project prostate cancer prevalence, incidence rates and mortality over a 15-year period going from 2008 to 2022 for the Aragon region of Spain. Methods: The projections were calculated using the MIAMOD PROGRAM. All-cause mortality due to prostate cancer for the baseline period of 1998 to 2007 was obtained from the Spanish National Institute of Statistics. Results: The prostate cancer incidence rates for the period 2008 to 2022 per 100,000 persons are projected to decrease from 47.57 to 26.68/100,000 (adjusted rates 24.9 to 12.93). Mortality will decrease from 21.89 to 11.73 (adjusted rates 10.89 to 5.83) and prevalence from 277.07 cases/ 100,000 per year to 125.09 (adjusted rates 165.54 to 63.41). Conclusions: These projections indicate that the prostate cancer incidence and its mortality rate will decrease in Aragon (Spain).

Keywords : Prostate cancer; Cancer projections; Spain.

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