My SciELO
Custom servicesServices on Demand
Journal
Article
Article in xml format
Article references
Automatic translation
Send this article by e-mailIndicators
Cited by SciELO 
Access statistics
Related links
Cited by Google 
Similars in
SciELO 
Similars in Google
Share
Permalink
Index de Enfermería
On-line version ISSN 1699-5988Print version ISSN 1132-1296
Abstract
AREVALO MANSO, Juan José et al. The coming shortage of nurses in Spain: an unnoticed problem. Index Enferm [online]. 2019, vol.28, n.4, pp.235-239. Epub Sep 14, 2020. ISSN 1699-5988.
Objective:
to estimate the gap between the supply and demand of nurses in Spain for 2020, 2030, 2040 and 2050.
Methods:
we used the last population projections for total population and two age groups (ages 15 to 64, and older than 64) by Eurostat. Nurses supply and demand was estimated by extrapolating the 2016 nurses/population ratios for 2020, 2030, 2040 and 2050.
Results:
we have estimated a gap of nurses of +21.024 (2020), +4.724 (2030), -23.155 (2040) and -39.510 (2050).
Conclusions:
These figures suggets that there may be a shortage of nurses in Spain from 2030. However, despite there are currently enough professionals, sometimes there is a shortage of nurses in certain areas in Spain.
Keywords : Human Resources; Nursing staff; Nurses/supply and distribution; Forecasting; Employment/trends; Population dynamics.
