<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>1132-0559</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Psychosocial Intervention]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Psychosocial Intervention]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>1132-0559</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Colegio Oficial de la Psicología de Madrid]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S1132-05592011000100010</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5093/in2011v20n1a9</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Contextual influences on the individual life course: building a research framework for social epidemiology]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Influencias contextuales en el ciclo vital individual: construyendo un marco de investigación para la epidemiología social]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Merlo]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Juan]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="A01"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="A01">
<institution><![CDATA[,Lund University  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Sweden</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>04</month>
<year>2011</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>04</month>
<year>2011</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>20</volume>
<numero>1</numero>
<fpage>109</fpage>
<lpage>118</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.isciii.es/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S1132-05592011000100010&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.isciii.es/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S1132-05592011000100010&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.isciii.es/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S1132-05592011000100010&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Individual health is not only individual responsibility, but also depends on the social contexts that condition the individual across the life course. However, while it is of high public health relevance to identify these contextual influences, they still remain poorly understood, and the research performed so far has suffered from severe limitations. This paper presents a research agenda for social epidemiology that underlines a number of novel concepts, ideas, and unanswered questions deserving future investigation. The paper presents a conceptual framework intended to organize the investigation of geographical, socioeconomic, and cultural disparities in health. This framework identifies five main areas of research: (1) identifying the relevant contexts that influence individual health by measuring general contextual effects, (2) measuring contextual characteristics, the specific effects of these characteristics on individual health and their underlying cross-level mechanisms, (3) investigating general and specific contextual effects from a longitudinal, a life-course perspective and across generations, (4) developing quasi-experimental methods (e.g., family-based designs) for the analysis of causal effects in contextual analyses, and (5) using the achieved scientific knowledge for planning and evaluating interventions. The proposed framework emphasizes that future research in social epidemiology should question the current means-centric reductionism that is mostly concerned with the identification of (contextual) risk factors, and it stresses the need to deliberately investigate determinants of variance. In fact, social epidemiology is not only interested in increasing the (mean) health of the population, but also in understanding and decreasing inappropriate health inequalities (variance).]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[La salud individual no depende sólo de la responsabilidad individual, sino también depende de los contextos sociales que condicionan al individuo a lo largo de su ciclo vital. Sin embargo, aunque la identificación de esas influencias contextuales es de una gran relevancia para la salud pública, su comprensión es todavía pobre y la investigación realizada hasta ahora presenta importantes limitaciones. Este trabajo presenta una agenda de investigación para la epidemiología social donde se subrayan un conjunto de nuevos conceptos, ideas y cuestiones pendientes para la investigación futura. El marco conceptual que se presenta trata de organizar la investigación de las desigualdades geográficas, socioeconómicas y culturales en salud. Este marco identifica cinco áreas principales de investigación: (1) identificar los contextos relevantes que influyen en la salud individual a través de la medida de los efectos contextuales generales, (2) medida de las características contextuales, los efectos específicos de esas características en la salud individual y los mecanismos inter-nivel subyacentes, (3) investigar los efectos contextuales generales y específicos longitudinalmente desde una perspectiva del ciclo vital y entre generaciones, (4) desarrollar métodos cuasi-experimentales (por ejemplo, diseños basados en familias) para investigar los efectos contextuales en análisis contextuales, y (4) utilizar el conocimiento científico obtenido para planificar y evaluar intervenciones. El marco conceptual propuesto enfatiza que la investigación futura en epidemiología social debería cuestionar el reduccionismo que suponen los acercamientos centrados en las medias, preocupados fundamentalmente en la identificación de factores (contextuales) de riesgo, y subraya la necesidad de investigar deliberadamente los determinantes de la varianza. La epidemiología social, de hecho, no sólo está interesada en incrementar la salud (la media), sino también en comprender y reducir las desigualdades en salud (la varianza).]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[contextual effects]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[health inequalities]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[life course]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[multilevel analyses]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[public health]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[social epidemiology]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[análisis de multinivel]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[ciclo vital]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[desigualdades en salud]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[efectos contextuales]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[epidemiología social]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[salud pública]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front><body><![CDATA[ <p align="left"><font size="2" face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif"><b>RESEARCH    AGENDA / AGENDA DE INVESTIGACI&Oacute;N</b></font></p>     <p>&nbsp;</p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="4"><b><a name="top"></a>Contextual    Influences on the Individual Life Course: Building a Research Framework for    Social Epidemiology</b></font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="4"><b>Influencias    Contextuales en el Ciclo Vital Individual: Construyendo un Marco de Investigaci&oacute;n    para la Epidemiolog&iacute;a Social</b></font></p>     <p>&nbsp;</p>     <p>&nbsp;</p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><b>Juan Merlo</b></font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Lund University,    Sweden</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">The study was funded    by the Swedish Council for working life and social research (FAS) (Dnr: 2010-    0402) and the Swedish Research Council (VR) (Dnr K2011-69X-15377-07-6).</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><a href="#corresp">Correspondence</a></font></p>     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<p>&nbsp;</p>     <p>&nbsp;</p> <hr noshade size="1">     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><b>ABSTRACT</b></font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Individual health    is not only individual responsibility, but also depends on the social contexts    that condition the individual across the life course. However, while it is of    high public health relevance to identify these contextual influences, they still    remain poorly understood, and the research performed so far has suffered from    severe limitations. This paper presents a research agenda for social epidemiology    that underlines a number of novel concepts, ideas, and unanswered questions    deserving future investigation. The paper presents a conceptual framework intended    to organize the investigation of geographical, socioeconomic, and cultural disparities    in health. This framework identifies five main areas of research: (1) identifying    the relevant contexts that influence individual health by measuring <i>general    contextual effects</i>, (2) measuring contextual characteristics, the <i>specific    effects </i>of these characteristics on individual health and their underlying    cross-level mechanisms, (3) investigating <i>general </i>and <i>specific </i>contextual    effects from a longitudinal, a life-course perspective and across generations,    (4) developing quasi-experimental methods (e.g., family-based designs) for the    analysis of causal effects in contextual analyses, and (5) using the achieved    scientific knowledge for planning and evaluating interventions. The proposed    framework emphasizes that future research in social epidemiology should question    the current means-centric reductionism that is mostly concerned with the identification    of (contextual) risk factors, and it stresses the need to deliberately investigate    determinants of variance. In fact, social epidemiology is not only interested    in increasing the (mean) health of the population, but also in understanding    and decreasing inappropriate health inequalities (variance).</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><b>Keywords</b>:    contextual effects, health inequalities, life course, multilevel analyses, public    health, social epidemiology.</font></p> <hr noshade size="1">     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><b>RESUMEN</b></font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">La salud individual    no depende s&oacute;lo de la responsabilidad individual, sino tambi&eacute;n    depende de los contextos sociales que condicionan al individuo a lo largo de    su ciclo vital. Sin embargo, aunque la identificaci&oacute;n de esas influencias    contextuales es de una gran relevancia para la salud p&uacute;blica, su comprensi&oacute;n    es todav&iacute;a pobre y la investigaci&oacute;n realizada hasta ahora presenta    importantes limitaciones. Este trabajo presenta una agenda de investigaci&oacute;n    para la epidemiolog&iacute;a social donde se subrayan un conjunto de nuevos    conceptos, ideas y cuestiones pendientes para la investigaci&oacute;n futura.    El marco conceptual que se presenta trata de organizar la investigaci&oacute;n    de las desigualdades geogr&aacute;ficas, socioecon&oacute;micas y culturales    en salud. Este marco identifica cinco &aacute;reas principales de investigaci&oacute;n:    (1) identificar los contextos relevantes que influyen en la salud individual    a trav&eacute;s de la medida de los efectos contextuales generales, (2) medida    de las caracter&iacute;sticas contextuales, los efectos espec&iacute;ficos de    esas caracter&iacute;sticas en la salud individual y los mecanismos inter-nivel    subyacentes, (3) investigar los efectos contextuales generales y espec&iacute;ficos    longitudinalmente desde una perspectiva del ciclo vital y entre generaciones,    (4) desarrollar m&eacute;todos cuasi-experimentales (por ejemplo, dise&ntilde;os    basados en familias) para investigar los efectos contextuales en an&aacute;lisis    contextuales, y (4) utilizar el conocimiento cient&iacute;fico obtenido para    planificar y evaluar intervenciones. El marco conceptual propuesto enfatiza    que la investigaci&oacute;n futura en epidemiolog&iacute;a social deber&iacute;a    cuestionar el reduccionismo que suponen los acercamientos centrados en las medias,    preocupados fundamentalmente en la identificaci&oacute;n de factores (contextuales)    de riesgo, y subraya la necesidad de investigar deliberadamente los determinantes    de la varianza. La epidemiolog&iacute;a social, de hecho, no s&oacute;lo est&aacute;    interesada en incrementar la salud (la media), sino tambi&eacute;n en comprender    y reducir las desigualdades en salud (la varianza).</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><b>Palabras clave</b>:    an&aacute;lisis de multinivel, ciclo vital, desigualdades en salud, efectos    contextuales, epidemiolog&iacute;a social, salud p&uacute;blica.</font></p> <hr noshade size="1">     <p>&nbsp;</p>     <p>&nbsp;</p>     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">I present a research    agenda for social epidemiology that encompasses a number of novel concepts,    ideas, and unanswered questions deserving future research activity. I build    up a conceptual framework intended to organize the investigation of socioeconomic,    geographical or cultural (e.g., conditioned by one's country of birth or gender)    disparities in health.</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">A main idea in    this essay is that our life develops longitudinally within a complex system    of socio-geographical levels. We are not isolated beings getting older; rather,    we are parts of collective bodies (Merlo, Ohlsson, Lynch, Chaix, &amp; Subramanian,    2009a) that condition our health over and above individual characteristics.</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">The conceptual    framework that I introduce was initially conceived for studies in the field    of social epidemiology. However, I believe it is also useful in social psychology,    community psychology and psychosocial intervention. The framework is valid for    investigating any individual health or behavioural outcome from e.g., myocardial    infarction and smoking to intimate partner violence (IPV), or child maltreatment.</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><b><i>Avoiding    the psychologistic fallacy and improving the validity of observational analyses</i></b></font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">The validity of    the knowledge achieved today in many fields of medicine and psychology is threatened    by the perils of the so called <i>psychologistic fallacy</i>. This is an inferential    fallacy that appears by neglecting the influence of the context when drawing    inferences based on individual level analyses. Giving a classical example, let    say that we are interested in knowing why people born in a specific country    have a higher risk for IPV. We perform a study and identify that the association    with IPV is mediated by substance abuse. As a result of the analysis the local    social authorities, aiming to prevent IPV, launch an intervention to confront    the problem of substance abuse among those immigrants. However, rather than    blaming the immigrants for their unhealthy life-style, we should consider the    fact this group of emigrants might be a minority suffering of structural discrimination.    This structural discrimination may, in turn, promote both substance abuse, and    increase incidence of IPV among emigrants. That is, when biased by the psychologistic    fallacy we disregard the context, and assume that individual level outcomes    are only explained by individual level characteristics.</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">In our modern research    tradition many determinants of health and health care are investigated at the    individual level and even at the genetic and the molecular levels. However,    people are both social and biological organisms and there is a growing understanding    that individual health and health related behaviour are not only individual    responsibilities but they also depends on the social context that conditions    the individual across the life course (Ben-Shlomo &amp; Kuh, 2002; Kaplan, 1999;    Macintyre, Ellaway, &amp; Cummins, 2002).</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><b><i>The causal    validity of contextual observational analyses is being questioned</i></b></font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Today, social inequalities    in health are being extensively documented among adult populations, and at the    individual level the mechanisms behind these inequalities have been widely investigated    (Davey Smith, Ben-Shlomo, &amp; Lynch, 2002; Davey Smith &amp; Lynch, 2003;    Lynch &amp; Kaplan, 2000). Also, a growing number of empirical studies suggest    that contextual factors may engender important effects on health (Chaix, 2009;    Diez Roux &amp; Mair, 2010). From a multilevel perspective it is assumed that    individual health is affected not only by individual characteristics but also    by the collective context in which individuals interact. In fact, several studies    using multilevel analyses have shown a correlation between different contextual    area characteristics (e.g., social participation, income inequality, area socioeconomic    deprivation, etc.) and individual health (Chaix, 2009; Pickett &amp; Pearl,    2001). However, an important issue is that the causal validity of most previous    contextual analyses is today being seriously questioned (Merlo &amp; Chaix,    2006; Oakes, 2004, 2006).</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">An important concern    when investigating area effects on individual health is that socio-economic    segregation and self-selection create selective migration of individuals with    particular characteristics to specific geographical contexts. This situation,    in turn, leads to systematic errors in the estimation of causal contextual effects,    and this bias is difficult to overcome by the usual statistical analysis applied    to observational data. While the ideal design for studying causality is the    randomized trial, this methodology presents major limitations, especially when    the units of analysis are areas rather than individuals (Merlo &amp; Chaix,    2006). It is therefore highly relevant to both develop appropriate observational    methods for causal analysis, and to review the evidence that has been gathered    so far.</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><b><i>Identifying    relevant contexts, and considering variance as a source of substantive information</i></b></font></p>     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">There are additional    severe limitations in contextual epidemiology. First of all, the very definition    of "context" is often based on administrative boundaries (e.g., census areas)    rather than on the true spatial or cultural environments where individuals interact    (Cummins, Curtis, Diez-Roux, &amp; Macintyre, 2007; Knox &amp; Pinch, 2006;    Merlo, et al., 2009a). There is also a lack of knowledge on the mechanisms underlying    cross-level (i.e., context-individual) associations.</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Moreover, while    normally social epidemiology is concerned with the identification of specific    risk factors for diseases by measuring changes in group means (e.g., increased    area level socioeconomic deprivation could be associated with -or potentially    causea higher individual risk for child maltreatment) many variables of interest    may be associated with a change in the variance of the distribution of the dependent    variable independently of its mean (Braumoeller, 2008; Downs &amp; Roche, 1979)    (see for example Merlo, Asplund, Lynch, Rastam, &amp; Dobson, 2004; Ohlsson    &amp; Merlo, 2007). In spite of this reasoning, variance is habitually considered    a measure of uncertainty or a nuisance rather than a source of substantive information.    This means-centric reductionism has dominated many of the multilevel analyses    performed today, which is a kind of contradiction since understanding the distribution    of variance across levels is a fundamental task in multilevel analyses. Using    the words of Clarke: ''without knowledge of the random components (i.e., variance),    the interpretation of arealevel fixed effects parameters (i.e., measures of    association) becomes decontextualized'' (Clarke &amp; Wheaton, 2007, p.315).</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">The current means-centric    reductionism existing in (social) epidemiology is mostly concerned with the    identification of risk factors (Susser &amp; Susser, 1996a, 1996b) and creates    a paradoxical situation, as social medicine is not only interested in increasing    the (mean) health of the population, but also in understanding and decreasing    inappropriate health inequalities (variance) (Merlo, et al., 2009a).</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Finally we need    to integrate all the new information for planning and evaluating public health    interventions.</font></p>     <p>&nbsp;</p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><b>Approaching    the research problems step by step</b></font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Future research    needs to answer the knowledge gaps and methodological challenges exposed above.    For these purposes I propose a conceptual framework that can help us to investigate    the role that contextual factors across the life-course play for understanding    individual risk (independent of whether the risk concerns myocardial infarction    or being a victim of IPV). This knowledge is necessary for planning and evaluating    public health interventions. The framework identifies five main areas of research.</font></p>     <blockquote>        <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">a) Identifying      the relevant contexts and measuring<i> general contextual effects.</i></font></p>       <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">b) Measuring      contextual characteristics, <i>specific contextual effects </i>and underlying      cross-level mechanisms.</font></p>       ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">c) Investigating      <i>general </i>and <i>specific </i>contextual effects from a longitudinal,      life-course perspective and across generations.</font></p>       <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">d) Developing      quasi-experimental analysis (e.g., family-based designs) for the study of      causal effects in observational contextual analyses.</font></p>       <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">e) Using scientific      knowledge for planning and evaluating interventions.</font></p>       <p>&nbsp;</p> </blockquote>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><b>(A) Identifying    the relevant contexts</b></font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><b><i>Identifying    contexts by strength of the association contextual variables and individual    health</i></b></font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">A fundamental question    in contextual epidemiology is to identify the scale that best corresponds to    meaningful contextual boundaries (e.g., neighbourhood) that influence individual    health or health related behaviour (e.g., propensity for IPV). Identifying the    right socio-geographical scale is relevant since it can be used for measuring    pertinent contextual exposures (Chaix, Merlo, Evans, Leal, &amp; Havard, 2009;    Chaix, Merlo, Subramanian, Lynch, &amp; Chauvin, 2005; Messer, 2007), and for    recognizing the appropriate level for public health interventions. For this    purpose, previous research has observed the strength of the associations between    contextual variables (measured at different geographical scales) and individual    health in order to identify the relevant context by the strength of the association    (Diez Roux &amp; Mair; Mujahid, Diez Roux, Morenoff, &amp; Raghunathan, 2007).    However, this approach may not always be appropriate because of the existence    of the Modifiable Area Unit Problem (MAUP) (Holt, Steel, &amp; Tranmer, 1996).    Openshaw (Openshaw, 1984) observed that <i>"the areal units (zonal objects)    used in many geographical studies are arbitrary, modifiable, and subject to    the whims and fancies of whoever is doing, or did, the aggregating". </i>Because    of the MAUP, the association between variables depends on the size of areal    units (i.e., the scale) for which data are reported. Generally, correlation    increases as a real unit size increases. Moreover the "scale effect", the "zone    effect" indicates variation in correlation statistics caused by the regrouping    of data into different configurations at the same scale.</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><b><i>Identifying    the relevant contexts by measures of variance and clustering</i></b></font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">An alternative    methodology for identifying the relevant contexts that influence individual    health/behaviour is based on measures of variance and clustering, the rationale    behind this approach has been extensively explained elsewhere (Larsen &amp;    Merlo, 2005; Merlo, 2003; Merlo et al., 2006; Merlo, Chaix, Yang, Lynch, &amp;    Rastam, 2005a, 2005b; Merlo, et al., 2009a; Merlo, Yang, Chaix, Lynch, &amp;    Rastam, 2005). In short, the idea is that, in the same way as individual measurements    of health indicators (e.g., blood pressure, smoking habits) are highly correlated    within individuals, the health of the individuals within a meaningful context    is expected to be correlated. However, while the limits that define the individual    bodies are very apparent, and we normally find very high intra-individual correlation    of individual level measurements, the collective body's geographical or cultural    limits that define the context (e.g., "neighbourhoods") are more difficult to    discern and, often, this situation expresses itself by very low intra-context    correlation of individual level outcomes. Nevertheless, the majority of contextual/multilevel    analyses performed until now have relied on existing administrative boundaries    without paying attention to the relevance of these contextual limits for understanding    individual health variation (Merlo, et al., 2009a).</font></p>     <p>&nbsp;</p>     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<p align="center"><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><a href="/img/revistas/inter/v20n1/10f01.jpg" target="_blank">Figure    1</a></font></p>     <p>&nbsp;</p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><b><i>Distinguishing    between general and specific contextual effects</i></b></font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">It becomes clear    that future research should focus on revisiting the validity of the administrative    boundaries commonly used to conduct social epidemiological studies. Simultaneously    we need to identify the contexts that are really relevant for specific individual    outcomes. For this purpose, the analytical approach <i>of components of health    variation </i>and the use of measures of variance and clustering (e.g., intra-class    correlation coefficient, median odds ratio) (Larsen &amp; Merlo, 2005; Merlo,    Chaix et al., 2005a) is very suitable as it allows the identification of <i>general    contextual effects</i>. The idea is that before investigating <i>specific contextual    effects </i>(e.g. the specific association between area deprivation and individual    propensity for being a victim of IPV), it is relevant to estimate the size of    the <i>general contextual effects</i>; that is, how much individual risk is    conditioned by the context of the area as a whole (Merlo et al., 2009a).</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">When measuring    <i>general contextual effects </i>we do not focus on any contextual characteristics    other than the very boundaries that delimit the context under analysis. Considering    this approach we can not only assess the scale on which contextual influences    operate using geographical/administrative area boundaries (e.g., local neighbourhoods,    parishes, city areas, municipalities, counties, countries) but also asses other    life contexts like schools, work places, health care areas, hospitals. We can    even investigate non-geographical boundaries based on geocultural (e.g., country    of birth within a city; Beckman et al., 2004) or familial (e.g., households;    Yang, Eldridge, &amp; Merlo, 2009) or family trees (Merlo, Bengtsson-Bostrom,    Lindblad, Rastam, &amp; Melander, 2006) criteria. Applying multilevel analyses    we can also investigate <i>general contextual effects </i>using a combination    of different levels without a typical hierarchical structure (Browne, Goldstein,    &amp; Rasbash, 2001). The identification of relevant contexts can be complemented    by using Geographical Information System (GIS) and innovative techniques of    cluster detection (Chaix et al., 2006; Chaix, Merlo, Subramanian, et al., 2005;    Lynch et al., 2010).</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">By applying knowledge    on social geography (Knox &amp; Pinch, 2006) and adopting a relational approach    (Cummins et al., 2007) it could be possible to develop appropriate conceptualizations    of places and contexts that affect specific individual outcomes (Macintyre,    et al., 2002). <i>General contextual effects </i>are also relevant for planning    strategies of prevention-especially when it comes to deciding whether public    health resources should be directed to individuals or to communities in specific    places and times (Merlo, 2003; Merlo, Ohlsson, Lynch, Chaix, &amp; Subramanian,    2009b).</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><b><i>The family    level</i></b></font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">One of the most    relevant but still rather neglected-levels is the family. Family-based studies    are fundamental multi-level analyses, since individuals are naturally nested    within pedigrees and share numerous genetic and environmental factors that condition    a common level of health over and above individual characteristics (Lawlor &amp;    Mishra, 2009). In spite of this obvious dependence, the scarce attention that    (social) epidemiologists have paid to the biological and social pedigrees, to    which each individual belongs to, is rather surprising. It is very possible    that many observed individual differences in risk factors for disease can be    explained by the general genetic/shared environmental backgrounds of the families.    The family level is important for the planning of prevention strategies in the    area of public health.</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><b><i>Variance-altering    causation, means centric reductionism, and multilevel analyses</i></b></font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Another innovative    perspective that needs be developed is the investigation of causes of changes    in the variance (the so called <i>variance-altering causation)</i>. This approach    is of considerable interest for the <i>evaluation of interventions </i>applied    at the contextual level, and for the analysis of health disparities across time.    The concepts were previously commented on by Downs and Rocke (1979) and later    by Gould (1996) and Braumoeller (2006, 2008) in research fields outside epidemiology    and also applied independently by the author of this essay and his research    group in recent studies (Merlo, et al., 2004; Ohlsson &amp; Merlo, 2007). These    ideas are also applicable in modern multilevel regression analyses (Rasbash    et al., 2000). While normally social epidemiology is concerned with the identification    of specific risk factors for diseases by measuring changes in group means (e.g.,    a low level of social cohesion at the area level might cause a higher individual    risk for being a victim of IPV) many variables of interest in epidemiology may    cause a change in the variance of the distribution of the outcome variable independently    of their effects on the mean. For example, in a recent study (Ohlsson &amp;    Merlo, 2007), variance altering factors were explicitly investigated and a conceptual    illustration presented showed that a change in the characteristics of a context    (i.e., the implementation of a decentralised health care budget) not only changed    the mean of the distribution of the variable studied (i.e., increasing compliance    with guidelines for prescription of pharmacological agents), but also altered    the variance between the collective units as well (i.e., decreasing disparities    between health care centres). Downs and Rocke (1979) and Braumoeller (2006,    2008) also provide illustrative examples in their work.</font></p>     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Today, there is    a clear means-centric reductionism in epidemiology that is mostly concerned    with finding risk factors. Paradoxically, this reductionism has been the norm    in many multilevel investigations, whereas understanding the distribution of    variance across levels should be the sine qua non of any solid multilevel analysis    (Clarke &amp; Wheaton, 2007; Merlo, Chaix, et al., 2005a; Riva, Gauvin, &amp;    Barnett, 2007). Future research should question this usual means-centric approach    and emphasise the need to deliberately investigate the heterogeneity that underlies    averages. It is necessary to investigate both changes in group means and changes    in variance and develop new epidemiological measures using this approach.</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Occasionally the    explicit focus of research in conventional epidemiology is the investigation    of geographical variance. This is the case in the classical "ecological analyses"(Engstrom    et al., 2000) as well as in the so called "small area variation studies" (Folland&amp;    Stano, 1989) and "spatial analyses" (Jerrett et al., 2003). However, such epidemiological    analyses are performed at the aggregated ecological scale disregarding individual    level information. It is necessary to question these analytical approaches and    emphasize the relevance of including both individual and contextual level information    across time.</font></p>     <p>&nbsp;</p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><b>(B) Measuring    contextual characteristics, their specific contextual effects and their underlying    cross-level mechanisms</b></font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">After assessing    the extent to which individual outcomes (e.g., health related behaviour, risk    factors, disease risk, health care utilisation, IPV or child maltreatment) are    conditioned by a context (see section 'A' above), the next challenge is conceptualizing    and measuring the specific contextual properties of the social and physical    environment that are hypothesized to be relevant for these individual outcomes    (Cummins, et al., 2007; Macintyre, et al., 2002). We can apply the theories    that are actual in social epidemiology (Krieger, 2001) or social psychology    and operationalize contextual variables (Johnell, 2006). We can use different    techniques available for contextual measurement.</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Besides direct    information on the physical environment (e.g., noise, air pollution, green environment),    it is possible to apply spatial and GIS analysis (Chaix et al., 2005) to measure    the properties of the material environment by geocoding data on community resources    (e.g., sport equipment, health care facilities). Also, by means of "ecometric"    methodology (Sampson, Raudenbush, &amp; Earls, 1997) it is possible to obtain    reliable measures of social contexts (e.g., social cohesion) using information    from samples of the population in available questionnaire surveys (Chaix, Rosvall,    &amp; Merlo, 2007).</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">When it comes to    the identification of mechanisms explaining associations between contextual    characteristics and individual outcomes, we need to consider and contrasts two    possibly complementary hypotheses in social medicine: the psychosocial and the    neo-materialist (Adamson, Ebrahim, &amp; Hunt, 2006; Lynch, Smith, Kaplan, &amp;    House, 2000; Marmot &amp; Wilkinson, 2001; Muntaner, Lynch, &amp; Smith, 2001;    Wilkinson, 1997). In this dialectic, the possible existence of psychosocial    mechanisms behind a possible association needs be systematically revised on    the light of a materialistic perspective that considers the lack of access to    material resources as a major determinant of individual health and health related    behaviour. At this point it is worthy to reflect on the ideas expressed by Muntaner    (2005) <i>"We understand ideology as a system of factual statements and value    judgments that inspires social, including public health, policies. Given such    definition, psychosocial epidemiology becomes mostly ideological when the policies    it inspires lack scientific justification (for example, 'subjective stress is    the major social determinant of cardiovascular mortality, therefore we should    focus on changing people's perceptions of their social and work environment    ')</i></font><font size="2"><i>&#8230;</i></font><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><i>    Thus, to provide more accurate and useful accounts of how society affects health,    </i>(we need<i>) models in which social structure and psychosocial exposures    are integrated into mechanisms that influence population patterns of mortality    and morbidity".</i></font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Finally, a major    caveat in contextual analyses is to separate the effect of specific contextual    characteristics (Geronimus &amp; Bound, 1998). For example, neighbourhood levels    of social capital, percentage of people with high education or percentage of    emigrants are highly correlated variables. This phenomenon motivates the creation    of composite indexes of deprivation (Carstairs, 1995; Folwell, 1995; Gordon,    1995). That is, on the one hand, choosing one variable instead of other variable    may produce a false impression of theoretical specificity and, on the other    hand, the interpretation of composite indexes is very diffuse (Geronimus</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">&amp; Bound, 1998).    As expressed by an author <i>"The alternatives</i></font><font size="2"><i>&#8230;</i></font><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><i>    for choosing contextual variables</i></font><font size="2"><i>&#8230;</i></font><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><i>    could be characterized as dishonest specificity and honest ambiguity</i>" (Bingenheimer    &amp; Raudenbush, 2004).</font></p>     <p>&nbsp;</p>     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><b>(C) Investigating    general and specific contextual effects from a longitudinal, life-course perspective,    and across generations</b></font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Looking back to    the recent history of social epidemiology we could distinguish three intellectual    generations (Merlo, 2010). The first generation was concerned with a simple    degenerative aetiological model, focused on adult risk factors for chronic complex    diseases. This initial generation appears to be obsolete, when the second intellectual    generation adopts a development approach that integrates the degenerative model    in a life-course approach and studies the effects on health and health-related    outcomes of biological (including genetics), environmental and social exposures    during gestation, infancy, childhood, adolescence, adulthood and across generations    (Kuh, BenShlomo, Lynch, Hallqvist, &amp; Power, 2003). However, while many life-course    studies still employ epidemiological methods similar to those used in the degenerative    aetiological model, the third generation of epidemiologists incorporates unusual    study designs (e.g. inter-generational, siblings, twins, etc.) as their fundamental    analytical tools (Lawlor, et al., 2009).</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">The conceptual    framework that we describe here aims to systematically understand how socially-patterned    exposures at different stages of life and across different contexts, influence    health later in life (Kuh et al., 2003). It is known that individual exposure    to both early and later life socioeconomic disadvantage affects disease risk    (Davey Smith et al., 2002). There are established hypotheses on how exposure    across the life-course effects individual health (i.e., the critical period,    the social mobility, and the cumulative models; Rosvall, Chaix, Lynch, Lindstrom,    &amp; Merlo, 2006). However, it is not well understood how cumulative exposure    to different social environments influences individual disease risk over and    above current individual characteristics (e.g., socio-economic position).</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">In a life-course    developmental framework, the effects of various aspects of the environment are    literally "embodied" over time so that in some cases, what is assigned as an    individual-level variable at one time point could equally be conceptualized    as a characteristic of past environments in which the individuals grew up. For    example, developmental contexts can influence smoking but when cross-sectional    analyses of contextual effects are examined, smoking is often controlled for    as an "individual characteristic".</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Contextual influences    on childhood and adult health need to be investigated in periods earlier in    the life course (e.g., childhood, intrauterine period) (Bengtsson &amp; Lindstrom,    2003), rather than in crosssectional analysis in adults. In addition, we also    need to consider that selective residential mobility -i.e., unhealthy individuals    moving to deprived neighbourhoods-is part of the process that drives compositional    area differences, and that the environments themselves change over time. Furthermore,    each individual is simultaneously exposed to several contexts, and these contexts    change across the life course (Naess, Claussen, Smith, &amp; Leyland, 2008;    Ohlsson &amp; Merlo, 2010). In this framework, and in connection with concepts    explained before (section A) the ideas on time geography developed by Torsten    H&auml;gerstrand (1981) are of special relevance.</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">That is, we need    to investigate how changes in both individual and contextual socioeconomic factors    across the life course are associated with individual health. In addition, applying    the idea "measures of variance" explained above (section A), we need not only    identify the relevant contexts but also disentangle the relative relevance of    different contexts (e.g., neighbourhoods) across the life course (Naess, et    al., 2008; Ohlsson &amp; Merlo, 2010).</font></p>     <p>&nbsp;</p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><b>(D) Developing    quasi-experimental family-based designs for the analysis of causal effects in    observational multilevel analyses</b></font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">The proposed framework    stresses the importance of adopting quasi-experimental, family-based designs    (Goodnight et al., 2011 ; Lahey &amp; D'Onofrio, in press; Lawlor et al., 2009;    Merlo, 2010) for analysing and understanding life-course determinants of health    across generations (Lawlor, et al., 2009; Merlo, 2010; Merlo, Bengtsson-Bostrom    et al., 2006). Family-based designs also allow us to disentangle genetic effects    from shared family effects and non-shared individuallevel effects and thereby    to understand genetic and socio-environmental determinants of health. Moreover,    the family-based approach is very appropriate for improving analyses of causality    in observational epidemiology (Merlo, 2010).</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">A classical limitation    in observational epidemiology is the difficulty in finding counter-factual circumstances    for drawing appropriate conclusions on average causal effects (Harding, 2003;    Hernan &amp; Robins, 2006), and this problem is especially relevant when investigating    contextual effects on health (Harding, 2003; Oakes, 2004; Subramanian, 2004).    Classical observational approaches try to reduce the effect of confounding by    adjusting for numerous variables in multiple regression analyses, or by applying    techniques like propensity scoring and inverse probability weighting (Hernan    &amp; Robins, 2006). However, the threat of residual confounding is difficult    to eliminate. While randomized trials are the ideal study design for investigating    causality, they are also subject to many limitations especially when the units    of analysis are whole communities rather than individuals (Merlo &amp; Chaix,    2006). The methodological challenges inherent to the estimation of causal contextual    effects (e.g., identification of the relevant boundaries, Merlo et al., 2009b;    endogeneity, Oakes, 2004; the so called "structural confounding", Messer, Oakes,    &amp; Mason, 2010; and excessive extrapolation in multilevel regression analyses,    Oakes, 2004) has led some authors to conclude that knowledge on contextual effects    could better be achieved by qualitative approaches (Cummins et al., 2007).</font></p>     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Family-based quasi-experimental    studies take advantage of the intra-familial correlation of the information    and allow improved counterfactual designs for investigating causal effects in    observational multilevel analyses (Merlo, 2010). The comparison of genetically    related individuals that differ regarding their exposure to contextual factors    (e.g., siblings living in different residential areas as adults) is a powerful    strategy for studying causal relationships between contextual area characteristics    and individual outcomes. Quasi-experimental family based designs provides opportunities    for investigating, <i>ceteris paribus</i>, the effects of different contextual    exposure in genetically related individuals (e.g., twins, full siblings) that    also share a similar family environment. This approach allows us to greatly    reduce confounding compared to classical approaches. As far we know, this methodology    has been rarely applied in contextual/neighbourhood research (Goodnight et al.,    2011; Harding, 2003).</font></p>     <p>&nbsp;</p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><b>(E) Using scientific    knowledge for planning and evaluating interventions</b></font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">The research strategies    I have proposed above may produce worthy information for the planning and evaluation    of public health interventions. The measurement of general contextual effects    is highly appropriate for identifying the relevant contextual boundaries that    affects individual health and health related behaviour and, thereby, for planning    strategies of prevention focused on the right level of intervention. This information    is especially relevant when it comes to deciding whether public health resources    should be directed to individuals or to communities in specific places and times    (Merlo, 2003; Merlo et al., 2009b).</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">It is also relevant    to identify the relative importance of the different context individual are    exposed in a concrete time and across the life course. The combined analysis    of measures of association (i.e., the mean-centric approach) and measures of    variation (i.e., measures of clustering and the approach of variance-altering    causation) is suitable for evaluating the effects of contextual interventions    on individual outcomes (see for example Hjerpe, Ohlsson, Lindblad, Bostrom,    &amp; Merlo, 2011; Ohlsson &amp; Merlo, 2007). Overall, we need to pay special    attention to the causal validity of the contextual factors we think affect individual    health and health related behaviour.</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Social epidemiology,    social psychology and psychosocial intervention share many knowledge and research    interests and will likely benefit by an increased cross-pollination.</font></p>     <p>&nbsp;</p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><b>References</b></font></p>     <!-- ref --><p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Adamson, J. A.,    Ebrahim, S., &amp; Hunt, K. (2006). The psychosocial versus material hypothesis    to explain observed inequality in disability among older adults: Data from the    West of Scotland Twenty-07 Study. <i>Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health,    60, </i>974-980.    &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;[&#160;<a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="javascript: window.open('/scielo.php?script=sci_nlinks&ref=4358606&pid=S1132-0559201100010001000001&lng=','','width=640,height=500,resizable=yes,scrollbars=1,menubar=yes,');">Links</a>&#160;]<!-- end-ref --></font></p>     ]]></body>
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<body><![CDATA[<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><a href="#top" name="corresp"><img src="/img/revistas/inter/v20n1/seta.jpg" border="0"></a>    <b>Correspondence</b>:    <br>   Juan Merlo    <br>   Unit for Social Epidemiology, CRC, Faculty of Medicine    <br>   Lund University, SE-20502    <br>   Malm&ouml;, Sweden    <br>   E-mail: <a href="mailto:juan.merlo@med.lu.se">juan.merlo@med.lu.se</a></font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Manuscript received:    16/12/2010    <br>   Review received: 18/02/2011    <br>   Accepted: 18/02/2011</font></p>      ]]></body><back>
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